Iran is experiencing a staggering decline in revenue from its oil exports and, if the trend continues, income could virtually disappear by 2015, according to an analysis released yesterday by the National Academy of Sciences.
Iran's economic woes could make the country unstable and vulnerable with its oil industry crippled, Roger Stern, an economic geographer at Johns Hopkins University, said in the report and in an interview.
Iran earns about $50 billion a year in oil exports. The decline is estimated at 10 percent to 12 percent annually. In less than five years, exports could be halved and then disappear by 2015, Mr. Stern predicted.
This would be catastrophic from the regime, news alone of this could destabilize the government to our benefit. Why?
1. We know they are a tyrannical theocracy, hell, Ahmadinejad is a puppet, but oil keeps them popular. The only reason Russia and China haven't allowed further sanctions is they need the oil. Europe is just as bad. But the UN did
The U.N. Security Council voted unanimously Saturday to impose sanctions on Iran for refusing to suspend uranium enrichment, increasing international pressure on the government to prove that it is not trying to make nuclear weapons. Iran immediately rejected the resolution.
As empty as it was, it goes in the books and hopefully our next ambassabor has the raw curage of John Bolton to lead the attack.
2. The students who protest have a foothold not a toehold. if this gets out, this can give the students leverage to create a real democracy, not the facs Sean Penn "reported" on. But they have courage the little pencil cannot grasp as he played Hanoi Jane that day, from Al-Ahram Weekly
Friday's elections took place only a week after Iranian students disrupted a speech by Ahmadinejad at the Amir Kabir University, setting fire to posters bearing his picture. The same university was the scene of a protest the day before by hundreds of students denouncing a crackdown on a reformist-led university association.
"Some students chanted radical slogans and inflamed the atmosphere of the meeting," said the semi-official Fars News Agency, which is close to Ahmadinejad. "A small number of students shouted 'death to the dictator' and smashed the cameras of state television, but they were confronted by a bigger group of students in the hall chanting: 'We support Ahmadinejad'," it said.
There courage is real because they have real consequence, their life.
3. Thus the push for enrichment to give them some leverage in the Arab community. If they get nukes, let's see how predatory they plan on becoming or start selling them tot the highest bidder to really destabilize the region.
Food for thought
3 comments:
Those nations which have bought oil from Iran have been paying for their possible destruction.
Maybe with enough economic upheaval within Iran, the mullahs will lose some of their power. Of course, there is a race against time because Iran's obtaining a nuclear weapon could well change the world order.
This where we need the willReagan and Ulysses Grant, wear them down with the will of domination.
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